How the Federalist Society Controls Our Lives

Supreme Court of the United States – Fall 2022

Former president Donald Trump gave life appointments to 226 judges in the three major levels of the federal court system, the district courts, the circuit courts of appeal and the Supreme Court.  He was accused of outsourcing the process to the ultra-conservative Federalist Society, which is a 501(c)(3) tax exempt nonprofit formed during Ronald Reagan’s first term.  Don McGahn, Trump’s White House counsel and candidate selection czar, reportedly joked that it had actually been “insourced” because he had been a member of that organization since law school.

It appears that a recommendation by, or membership in, the Federalist Society is a prerequisite for Republican judicial appointees.  In fact, the six conservative Supreme Court justices who voted to overturn Roe v. Wade are all Society members.  So is Trump appointed Florida federal judge Aileen Cannon.  Her decision granting Trump’s request for a special master to review documents he had stolen from the government has been roundly criticized by legal experts.

I believe there is no doubt that most, if not all, of the federal judges appointed by Republican presidents since Reagan was first elected were strong states’ rights advocates (federalists) and many were members of the Federalist Society, including around half of President George W. Bush’s appointees, according to Politico.

So, what is the purpose of the Federalist Society and why is it such a powerhouse in today’s political environment?  Well, as stated on its website, it’s an organization of over 70,000 lawyers, law students and scholars who believe that individual citizens can make the best choices for themselves and society.  I guess this just applies to men because many of its members are strong anti-abortion activists and certainly not “pro-choice.”  Generally, however, “rugged individualist” phrases like this imply an advocacy for limited government and an opposition to government social safety net programs, like Social Security and Medicare. 

Its website also advises that the Society is a group of conservatives and libertarians whose mission is to reform the current legal order.   Its members believe that the duty of the judiciary is to say what the law is – not what it should be.  This means, among other things, that they promote jurists (originalists) who will strictly interpret the Constitution in accordance with this Society tenet. 

Donors to the Federalist Society have the option to remain anonymous but reports indicate that it is strongly backed by many large corporations and wealthy donors due to its support for lower taxes, limited federal regulations, free market capitalism and likeminded conservative federal judges. 

Well, there has been a lot focus on federal judges this year, particularly those on the U.S. Supreme Court.  With lifetime appointments, they can have a much greater influence on American society than the presidents who appointed them.  Ultra-conservative Justice Clarence Thomas, for example, was appointed by one-term president George H. W. Bush in 1991.  He is the longest serving Justice and could serve for another decade.  The three conservative justices appointed by Trump during his one term could serve two to three decades.

The Federalist Society influence on Republican presidents and the federal judiciary for the past four decades makes it – in my opinion – the most powerful right-wing organization in the United States.  For example, according to an article in Britannica, the five conservative Supreme Court justices adopted the Society’s broad interpretation of the Constitution’s right to freedom of speech in the Citizens United v. FEC (2010) case when they ruled that campaign finance laws could not restrict corporate spending on independent political advertising.  That decision opened the floodgates of money in politics, much of it from shadowy sources.

Yet, the Federalist Society’s tremendous power in American politics is virtually unknown to many, if not most, voters.  And very few have ever heard of its co-chair, Leonard Leo, a staunch social conservative lawyer and religious freedom advocate who has served the organization for more than 25 years. 

Leo controls Marble Freedom Trust, a 501(c)(4) nonprofit that can use dark money from anonymous donors to promote conservative causes and Republican candidates.  Last year, the Trust received a $1.6 billion – yes, billion – donation of Tripp Lite stock from the company’s owner, Chicago billionaire Barre Seid – which it later sold.  This is likely the largest ever publicly known contribution to a politically focused entity, according to a recent New York Times article.  Obviously, Marble Freedom Trust, the Federalist Society’s alter ego, has lots of resources to influence elections in 2022 and 2024.

Liberals founded an organization in 2001 called the American Constitution Society that has similar purposes as the Federalist Society.  Very few voters have ever heard of it, however, and none of its judges are on federal benches, according to a Politico article.  Although I didn’t find current numbers on how well it is funded, past data indicates the ACS has nowhere near the financial resources of the Federalist Society.

Unfortunately, there is no apparent clear path to counter the oppressive control the Federalist Society has on the nation – and our lives – with the vast sums of money its surrogates wield.  Certainly, democracy-loving Americans should support congressional candidates who seek to nullify the effects of the Citizens United decision.

However it is accomplished though – we the people must find a way to put a lid on the enormous sums of money infecting American politics; that may be the only way to neutralize special interest organizations like the Federalist Society.

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GOP Legislative Failures Help Them Win Elections

Conservative justices on the U.S. Supreme Court are attempting to remake the United States with their states’ rights agenda, particularly Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito.  Striking down Roe v. Wade and eliminating the constitutional right to an abortion is just one of their numerous decisions that limit the rights of we the people.  And they aren’t finished yet.

The vast majority of Republicans have been clamoring for the end of Roe for decades and now they’ve finally succeeded.  I’ve frequently opined, however, that one of the major reasons the GOP has been able to remain a viable political party is that Republicans have failed to get their policies enacted into law.  I know, that seems counter intuitive – but allow me to explain.

Recent polls indicate that most voters opposed overturning Roe.  Even in his concurrence, Chief Justice Roberts stated that the Court was going too far with this decision.  As a result, pundits who were certain that Republicans would easily take control of both the U.S. House and the Senate in November began hedging their bets and here’s a good indication of why. 

Fearful Republican candidates are suddenly moderating their previously strong pro-life positions.  In a recent Twitter ad, for example, far-right Arizona Senate candidate Blake Masters backtracked on his earlier tough anti-abortion rhetoric.  He also rewrote, or scrubbed five of the six positions opposing abortion on his website.  Gone are “I am 100% pro-life” and his support for a “federal personhood law (ideally a Constitutional amendment),” according to an NBC News article.  

Masters has also changed his position on Social Security.  During a candidate forum in June, he stated, “[M]aybe we should privatize Social Security.  Get the government out of it,” according to an article in the Arizona Republic.  Then, after he won the primary, he did a total about face, claiming, “I do not want to privatize Social Security.” Masters even suggested that payments under the current system should be increased.

Believe it or not, at least two incumbent Republican senators have also attacked the Social Security system, which for decades has been considered the “third rail of politics.”  You know, like the power source of some electric railroad systems, if you touch it, you’re dead.  That hasn’t deterred GOP Sens. Ron Johnson (Wis.) and Rick Scott (Fla.). 

Johnson has advocated for making both Social Security and Medicare discretionary programs, meaning they would be subject to yearly congressional appropriations, instead of guaranteed benefits as they are today.

Scott’s 11 Point Plan to Rescue America proposes that all federal legislation, including Social Security and Medicare, sunset in five years.  He states, “If a law is worth keeping, Congress can pass it again.”  Oh, how Republicans would love an opportunity to rework and weaken these critical programs for seniors.

But folks, reproductive rights, Social Security and Medicare are just several of the many issues where the GOP is on the wrong side of voter sentiment.  This has been true for decades but, curiously, the party never seems to be able to pass the legislation that would implement their major policies, except for tax cuts, mainly for corporations and the wealthy.   

To see what the GOP is proposing currently, I reviewed the 112-page, 2023-2032 budget proposal – Blueprint to Save America – from the House Republican Study Committee (RSC), an organization to which most GOP House members belong.  Here are its most significant legislative goals, as compared to the Congressional Budget Office 10-year projection of revenues and expenditures under current law.

The RSC Budget proposes:

  • Cutting tax revenue by $3.9 trillion and requiring a supermajority vote in the House to raise taxes.
  • Repealing the estate tax (which only applies to the wealthiest taxpayers).
  • Declaring that human life begins at conception.
  • Abolishing most gun controls and prohibiting the keeping of records on gun sales.
  • Allowing tax exempt religious organizations to participate in politics.
  • Finishing Trump’s border wall.
  • Privatizing Medicare by providing insurance premium support subsidies to seniors.
  • Providing block grants to states to cover Medicaid, food stamps and other social safety net programs.
  • Adopting a federal balanced budget amendment to the Constitution.

I always get some grumbles when I include too many number details, so, I’ll just summarize that the RSC budget would slash federal spending by almost $17 trillion (23%) over the next 10 fiscal years.  The lion’s share of this would significantly reduce spending on Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and other mandatory spending programs, virtually decimating these benefits. 

Actually though, there’s nothing new about Republican desires to cut taxes and slash federal spending; it’s been their stated agenda since before Ronald Reagan’s presidency.  But here’s the thing.  Even with a Republican president and control of Congress they’ve only seriously tried to accomplish a small fraction of it.

Why?  Well, I believe GOP election fears after they were successful in getting Roe overturned gives us the answer.  Republicans know that if they even attempted to get a few main items of their radical policy positions enacted, they would be removed from office in droves come the next election. 

Their “carrot on a stick” budget proposals, however, keep hopeful conservatives eagerly voting for them. Ah, but their failures to get them enacted keeps millions of moderates from voting against them.  That enables Republicans to employ their main strategy for winning – spreading misinformation and outright lies about the Democrats and their agenda.  Clever, huh?

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Politics – the Good, the Bad and the Ugly

Source: Obama White House

The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) that President Biden signed last week was passed without a single Republican vote.  Major legislation like this is quite rare in an election year.  It was a great cap, however, to a year and a half of legislative accomplishments by the Biden administration and a Congress that Democrats just barely control.  Some even received bipartisan support, including last year’s job creating infrastructure bill, the first gun safety law in decades, and the critical CHIPS Act, which bolsters scientific research and domestic semiconductor production.

But here’s what makes several of these enactments so important.  The coronavirus pandemic shed a glaring light on a weakness that globalization has slowly caused over the past several decades: America is far too dependent on certain raw materials and products that are primarily produced in foreign countries.  This is particularly true of China, which is allied with Russa and flexing its economic and military muscles across the globe. 

Consequently, the United States can no longer depend on this communist nation as a reliable source of imports that are needed for its economy, the health of its citizens or its national security.  That’s why the CHIPS Act is an important step toward American independence in semiconductors and other technology.  The IRA will also lessen U.S. dependence on China.  It makes huge investments to promote domestic battery production, which will reduce the cost of electric vehicles.  Both will result in more high paying jobs and enhanced national security.  I call these win/win legislative achievements.

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During a 1952 Presidential campaign speech, Illinois’ Democratic Governor Adlai Stevenson reportedly said, “If they [the Republicans] will stop telling lies about the Democrats, we will stop telling the truth about them.”  I’m sure this line was good for uproarious laughter at the time, but GOP lies are no longer funny.  All politicians shade the truth but Republicans have turned lying into an art form.  Misinformation is their strategy to deflect from the fact that the GOP has very few sound policies that are popular with voters.  Although they have been quite successful with it, their lies have frequently put people’s lives in danger.   Iowa Senator Chuck Grassley’s recent attack on the Internal Revenue Service is an excellent example.

There was a time when the 89-year-old Grassley was known as a reasonable, policy minded legislator.  Now, however, he apparently feels compelled to pander to a Republican base that has grown ever more radical over the past two decades.  His comments about the IRA’s $80 billion additional funding for the Internal Revenue Service are beyond shocking.  This Act will provide for up to 87,000 additional IRS employees over 10 years.  Grassley ludicrously claimed, however, that this will create, “a strike force that goes in with AK-15s (sic.) already loaded, ready to shoot some small business person in Iowa” because, “they aren’t paying their fair share” in taxes. 

For the record, one of the many government damaging tactics the GOP has employed over the years is to drastically cut funding for the IRS.  This not only decreased the number of audits on wealthy taxpayers, it prevented the service from updating its ancient computer software and caused in a huge backlog of unprocessed paper returns.  The added funding is not to badger small businesses; it’s to catch rich tax cheats and make the IRS more efficient.  The rhetoric used by Grassley and numerous other Republicans, however, is not only false, it puts the lives of IRS employees at risk.

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Former president Trump made one of his most damaging decisions in 2018 when he unilaterally withdrew the U.S. from the 2015 nuclear deal that President Obama and five other world leaders inked with Iran. As predicted, this gave Iranian hardliners the greenlight to increase that nation’s capability to make a bomb.  Since his inauguration, however, President Biden has been attempting to resurrect that agreement to its 2017 status, when, according to United Nations’ inspectors, Iran was in compliance.  It won’t be easy though; he is facing strong opposition from the GOP.

Remember, in March 2015, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addressed a joint session of Congress to warn that Obama’s agreement with Iran would pave the way to an Iranian nuclear weapon.  Days later, 47 Republican Senators signed an open letter intended to scuddle the deal.  In it, they issued an unprecedented warning to Iran that Obama lacked the authority to sign it. 

I’ve always wondered, however, even if the 2015 agreement wasn’t everything they wanted, what was the Republican alternative – war with Iran?   That would be a long, bloody conflict with no winners.  The cost in lives loss and military expenditures would be unimaginable.  The Islamic Republic is not like Iraq, which was a military pushover; Iran is much more formidable, with almost twice the population and nearly four times the land area, much of which is mountainous. 

Regardless, 49 GOP Senators signed a statement last March, stating that, “Republicans will do everything in our power to reverse” a Biden negotiated agreement.  Then in May, the Times of Israel reported that Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile was 18 times the 2015 deal limit and that Iranians could build a bomb within weeks.  So again Republicans, what’s your alternative to Biden’s agreement, another horrific Middle East war?

This nation has a myriad of difficult challenges.  Yet, all Republicans seem to do is lie about proposed fixes and obstruct others.

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Being Optimistic About America’s Future Gets Easier

Photo by Gabriella Borter-Reuters

Numerous commentators and writers have been conjuring up dark scenarios for the United States this year, causing demoralizing fears about civil wars and impending threats to American democracy.  I agree that U.S. politics have been depressing since the 2020 election, particularly after former president Trump’s supporters attacked the Capitol on January 6, 2021.  I have been trying to write more positive blogs to counter these horrific opinions, however, and events of the past two months are beginning to make that easier.   

Why?  Well, there has been a fair amount of good news recently that I find uplifting.  In June, the January 6 committee began telling a compelling tale of criminality by former president Trump and all those who attempted to reverse the results of the 2020 presidential election.  Then we learned that the Department of Justice has empaneled a grand jury that is focusing on wrongdoing by top officials in the Trump administration on January 6.  The best chance to indict Trump, however, may be in Fulton County, Georgia where a grand jury is zeroing in on Trump and those who attempted to reverse President Biden’s win in that state.

These investigations have prompted dozens of pundits to question if Trump’s 2020 voters will support him in 2024.  Absolutely, is the answer that I have heard or read from most of them.  Several have opined that what Trump did on January 6 hasn’t even damaged him.  A July article in The Atlantic, however, published the results from dozens of focus groups of Trump’s 2020 voters that have met since January 6, 2021.  The changing attitudes they reveal are insightful.

Most participants in focus group meetings that occurred prior to the start of the January 6 committee hearings in June, still wanted Trump in 2024.  Those in the nine groups since then weren’t so sure. Some found Trump to be “exhausting.”  One said, “I don’t want four more years of [bad tweets].”  Others thought the GOP could potentially get eight years of control with another candidate instead of only four with Trump.  In four of the final nine groups, not one person wanted Trump to run again.  Among various alternative candidates, these Republicans expressed the most interest in Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.

As I have stated in previous blogs, in my opinion, Donald Trump will not be on the ballot in 2024.  That alone would be very positive, even if the Republican nominee becomes president.  Trump is surrounded by truly antidemocracy, sycophantic criminals who would attempt to keep him, and them, in power beyond four years, literally creating an autocracy.  I believe that any of the other Republicans who are vying to be the GOP nominee in 2024 would be much more likely to follow the rule of law and the Constitution than Trump, which would help preserve U.S. democracy.

Progressives were encouraged on Tuesday when the Republican effort to eliminate abortion protections from the Kansas state constitution was overwhelmingly defeated.  They now believe that abortion rights will be a significant issue in the midterm elections.  That combined with the radical candidates that Republican voters are nominating give Democrats a better chance of retaining control of Congress, according to a growing number of analysts.  They may also do better in critical governor’s races like Texas where Republican Greg Abbott may be vulnerable because he signed one of the strictest abortion restrictions in the nation.

Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) is one radical candidate this year who is certainly not helping GOP efforts to retake the Senate.  It’s no secret that Republicans would cut Social Security and Medicare benefits if they thought they could get away with it.  Well, Johnson confirmed that recently during a right-wing radio show when he proposed making mandatory (automatic) spending programs like these two popular entitlements subject to yearly discretionary spending appropriations bills.  CNN anchor Brianna Keilar played a clip of Johnson’s remarks for analyst Chris Wallace, after which she said, “Sounds like cutting Medicare and Social Security.”  Wallace agreed and said it was a terrible policy.  He called it “suicide politics.”

On the plus side, Democrats have scored, or are teeing up, some significant legislative wins in Congress.  President Biden signed into law the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act in June, the first gun control legislation in decades, the CHIPS bill in July, which appropriates $280 billion to speed up the manufacture of critically needed semiconductors in the U.S. and the PACT Act in August, which expands health care benefits for veterans who were sickened by exposure to toxic burn pits during military service.  Congress also passed the accession treaty in August, which approves adding Sweden and Finland to NATO, thus helping counter Russia in Europe.  

An even bigger win for Democrats is nearing passage in Congress, the Inflation Reduction Act.  This bill would raise taxes on corporations and wealthy hedge fund managers, make the largest ever U.S. investment toward fighting climate change and reduce the cost of pharmaceutical drugs.  It would also further reduce the number of Americans without health insurance, which in 2022 is at a record low.  Economists agree that this legislation will lower prices for all Americans and even slightly decrease budget deficits.

Yes, I believe recent events are making it easier to be optimistic about America’s future.  Remember, Republican autocrats will only prevail if pessimism causes democracy-loving Americans to give up and do nothing to stop them.

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Things Are Rarely as Bad as We Fear

Proud Boys by Nathan Howard-Getty Images

Feeling helpless?  Many are!  Worried about the current state of affairs and the future?  Join the crowd!  But you know, when I think back on the situations that filled me with dread, particularly those that might significantly affect me or my family, I can’t remember even one that turned out as horrible as I had imagined it could.  And most weren’t bad at all.  It’s uncertainty that really frightens us, I suppose, and we are facing a lot of unknowns these days.

One that’s deeply worrying many Americans is a possible Republican takeover of Congress in 2022 and an election rigged by GOP-controlled states in 2024 that returns former president Donald Trump to the White House.  Many left-leaning pundits and Democratic politicians have conjured up fears about a Republican autocracy and the resulting loss of democratic processes in America.  I’m not saying their anxiety is unwarranted, but I don’t believe this scenario at all inevitable.

Right now, Trump is running scared for a number of reasons.  Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has bested him in several straw polls and is appealing to the hard-core Republican base that has been the former president’s greatest political asset.  Influential conservative Rich Lowry, editor in chief of National Review, wrote a guest essay for the New York Times in May titled, “Republicans Need a New Leader. They’re Looking to Florida.”  In it he stated “The governor is a leader in a new, Trump-inflected party, but without the character flaws and baggage of the former president.”  Lowry believes DeSantis represents “the new Republican Party.”

It appears that Trump may soon announce his candidacy for the 2024 GOP nomination in order to discourage potential competitors – and hold off federal and state prosecutors.  Some believe the latter objective has the highest priority.  Regardless, there are over 100 Republican primary winners who promote Trump’s big lie that the 2020 election was stolen from him, according to a recent Washington Post article.  An announcement before the fall midterms would really put Trump and his election fraud claims on the ballot then too, which is something the GOP leadership fears.

Whatever Trump does though probably won’t stop DeSantis, who I believe is preparing to challenge him.  One competitor, of course, would undoubtedly draw in a few others, including former VP Mike Pence and several ambitious GOP Senators.  Once emboldened, one or more of these ruthless politicians would likely go on the attack against Trump, just like he did against the primary candidates in 2016.

Oh, and let’s not forget the January 6 committee in the U.S. House.  Although, most Republicans in Congress and their right-wing supporters have dismissed this oversight effort as a politically motivated witch hunt, it is building a strong case against Trump, which appears to be both substantial and credible.  Even though unprecedented, I believe there is a significant possibility that the former president will be indicted for one or more crimes before 2024, either by the U.S. Justice Department or by Fani Willis, the Fulton County, Georgia district attorney.  In my opinion, Donald Trump will not be the GOP standard bearer two years hence.

Will Republicans win control of the House and/or the Senate in 2022?  Well, it’s certainly possible they could take either or both but I don’t believe it will be like 2010, when then-President Obama admitted that the Democrats got a “shellacking,” not only in the House but in states across the nation.   

The House is probably more problematic for Democrats.  Over in the Senate, however, they have a better chance of holding a majority.  First, there are only 14 Democratic Senators up for reelection compared to 21 for the Republicans.  At least three of these who won their GOP primaries, J. D. Vance in Ohio, Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania and Hershel Walker in Georgia are struggling.  They remind me of 2012 when the Republicans ran some – shall we say – wacko candidates who lost big time.  Democratic control of the Senate would allow the president to appoint more federal judges, which is a really big deal, even if no significant legislation is passed in 2023 and 2024. 

Many say the major factor influencing the midterms is the economy.  Well, the June jobs report was surprisingly strong, as the unemployment rate stayed at a record low 3.6%.  The price of oil is trending down, which should mean a cheaper gallon of gas and the supply chain crisis is easing, which would help moderate inflation.  If the Federal Reserve can avoid creating a recession with interest rate hikes before November, that should improve the sour mood of voters who seem to be more focused on their pocketbooks than Republican threats to democracy.  

Also on the positive side, Democrats can tout the bipartisan infrastructure package they engineered, the first gun safety legislation passed in decades and the significant increases in wages that accompanied the great jobs numbers.  They and their supporters need to begin accentuating the positive and shake off the gloom and doom.

The political situation is nowhere near hopeless.  We the people have the power – perhaps the only power – to prevent Republican autocrats from taking over and the first thing is to financially support and vote for qualified candidates who share our concerns and beliefs.  Each and every one of us matters and is a valuable asset in the democracy-saving process. 

So, let’s get with the program.

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Whatever the Problem, Voting Republican Won’t Fix It

CNN Image

Getting emotional and upset about the price of gas, the economy, inflation, etc. and voting for Republicans in 2022 is like getting angry over a broken dish or something and smashing your fist into the wall.  It won’t accomplish a damned thing and it’s certain to result in extreme pain.  I would caution those who might be favoring the GOP this year to think long and hard about what will result from their choices.

Republican policies should be one of their first considerations.  That is, what are Republicans currently supporting and what do they oppose.  Unfortunately, that has gotten much harder to discern recently.  The national party didn’t draft an updated platform at its 2020 convention.  Instead, delegates produced a one-page resolution that incorporated the 2016 platform and basically stated that the party would support whatever then-President Trump wanted.

The Republican policy dearth continued into 2021.  At a private dinner with donors and GOP Senate candidates last November, according to an Axios source, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) told his colleagues that he didn’t intend to introduce a legislative agenda before the 2022 midterms.  McConnell wants Republicans to wait for an updated GOP platform to be adopted in 2024 and be 100% focused this year on lambasting Democrats for their failures. 

Donors typically want to know what their money is buying, however, so one of them at this meeting asked what GOP candidates would be proposing to help them win.  McConnell simply replied that the party wouldn’t be doing that.  Better to have no agenda than one that can be attacked by opponents, right?

Well, it doesn’t appear to me that Mitch is eager to help Democrats accomplish anything.

Yet, not all Republican politicians agree with the minority leader.  I’ve written previously about an 11-Point Plan to Rescue America rolled out by Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) last February.  Scott is the current leader of the National Republican Senatorial Committee and it appears he wants the party’s Senate candidates to run on his plan.  While many of them would probably be happy to do that, McConnell publicly rebuked Scott for this effort and aggressively shut it down.

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) also wanted to draft a legislative agenda leading to the 2022 midterms, according to Axios.  He announced the appointment of seven issue-specific taskforces in June 2021 that are “designed to identify and develop policy solutions to the issues facing the American people.”  Last November he announced the first issue specific proposal House Republicans will promote, the Parents Bill of Rights. GOP House members have not produced a second proposal since then, to my knowledge, and I doubt if they will.  McConnell will see to that.

Okay, I think we can stop right here.  Why should any voter believe that Republicans will work with Democrats to help solve any of our current problems before the 2024 election, or thereafter, for that matter?  It’s obvious that they have a totally different agenda. 

Just consider the platform that delegates concocted last week at the Texas GOP convention.  I believe it proposes some of the most radical ideas that a Republican assemblage has ever produced in a single document.

Here are just some of its bombshells, many of which I believe grassroots Republicans all over the country would likely support. 

The Texas Republican platform:

  • Rejects the certified results of the 2020 Presidential election, and holds that acting President Joseph Robinette Biden Jr. was not legitimately elected.
  • Supports repeal of the 16th Amendment (Federal Income Tax)
  • Supports the privatization of the Social Security system.
  • Rejects the “bipartisan gun agreement” and rebukes Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas), etc.
  • Holds that homosexuality is an abnormal lifestyle choice that shouldn’t be protected under the law.
  • Urges legislation to abolish abortion from the moment of fertilization.
  • Urges repeal of all limits on candidate and campaign contributions by U.S. citizens.
  • Supports defunding and abolishing virtually all federal government departments and agencies that are not authorized by the Constitution, including the Federal Reserve.
  • Supports withdrawal from the United Nations and removal of the UN from U.S. soil.
  • States that all gun control is a violation of the Second Amendment.
  • Urges that the Voting Rights Act of 1965 be repealed, and
  • Suggests that Texans vote on seceding from the United States.

Voters need to read this seditious, 40-page, 273 proposal document (Access it here.) to understand how strongly it promotes returning America to the 19th Century. 

They should also watch a video of the delegates at this convention soundly booing Texas GOP Sen. John Cornyn when he attempted to speak about the bipartisan gun safety bill he is negotiating.  And they need to watch and hear some convention attendees harassing Texas Republican Rep. Dan Crenshaw – a conservative former Navy Seal who lost one eye fighting in Afghanistan – calling him “eye-patch McCain” because he supported Ukraine in its war with Russia and suggesting he be hung for treason. 

These hard right Texas convention delegates are a classic example of the inmates taking over the asylum.

I’m confident, however, that the more the Trumpian Republicans put their anti-democracy proposals under the media microscope, the more likely that voters will reject the candidates that support them.  That’s why McConnell has been adamant against drafting a legislative agenda this year.  He knows that it will show how Republicans have no interest in fixing today’s problems – and he’s right.

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Not One More Child Will Be Born in 2021

Photo by: Joe Sohm/Visions of America/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)

Okay, in other words, the U. S. birth numbers last year will never change, nor will their composition of race, gender and ethnicity.  That fact, although obvious, is very significant.  For example, along with immigration estimates and other factors, critically important projections can be made for new kindergarten students in 2026, college enrollments around 2038 and future available labor pools.   

These yearly statistics also help demographers advise politicians about how many individuals of which races and ethnic groups will become newly eligible to vote in future election years.  Republicans have been focused on these numbers lately; it drives much of their racist, replacement conspiracy theory and paranoia over immigrants.

The phrase “Demographics are destiny.” has been attributed to the 19th Century French philosopher Auguste Comte.  It suggests that much of the future is predetermined by trends in current populations, i.e., which groups are growing and where and which are receding.  Population growth for the year is determined by adding the number of births, minus the number of deaths plus the number of immigrants.  So, what’s going on with the birth rate in the United States?

Like almost every other well-developed country, U.S. women are having fewer babies.  To some extent, this can be chalked up to women being better educated and employed, which gives them more power over their bodies and their lives.  Another very significant reason, however, is the high cost of having and caring for children. 

When we moved from North Carolina to Washington state, I immediately noticed many more young families with three or even four children compared to North Carolina where one or two was more typical.  A study by the financial website wallethub.com suggests a reason for this, Washington was rated the 8th best state to raise a family in 2022; North Carolina was rated 37th.  One of the factors influencing the rating in this study was median income.  WA was rated 3rd in terms of affordability; NC was 37th, the same as its overall rating. 

There can be no doubt that Biden’s Build Back Better Act would have stimulated U.S. birth rates by giving working mothers help with child care and schooling for pre-K children.  It would have provided for paid family and medical leave and significant child tax credits to make having children much more affordable.  Republican opposition in the Senate is the main reason this legislation failed, but West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin (D) prevented Democrats from passing it using the narrow budget reconciliation process.  Ironically, his state desperately needed this legislation.  West Virginia was rated dead last in a wallethub.com study, 2022’s Best and Worst State Economies

The low birth rates in 2021 combined with a shocking number of Americans who died.  According to the census data, 2,297 U.S. counties, or over 73%, experienced more deaths than births in 2021; that’s up from 45.5% in 2019.  No doubt, hundreds of thousands of coronavirus deaths caused part of this increase, but Americans also die of gun violence and drug overdoses at higher rates than citizens of other wealthy countries. 

The U.S. population grew by 2 million every year from 2011 to 2017, which was still low by historical standards, and only by 1.1 million in 2020.  Then, the U.S. population grew at the slowest pace in history in 2021, according to census data, adding a mere 393,000 people.  Yet, even if the coronavirus deaths had not occurred, U.S. population growth in 2021 would have been historically low.

Okay, what about immigration?  The number of immigrants tends to increase in good economic times.  After the U.S. added almost 1.2 million lawful permanent immigrant residents in 2016, according to Department of Homeland Security statistics, the number of immigrants steadily decreased through 2019.  Last year, only 245,000 immigrants were added.

The reason for this decreasing immigration is clear.  Former president Trump and his administration waged open warfare on immigrants during his four years.  Unfortunately, President Biden has not yet revitalized pro-immigration policies, according to a March article in The Atlantic

I think Caleb Watney, a co-founder of the Washington, D.C. think tank, Institute for Progress, correctly summed up the tremendous value of immigrants for a recent article in The Atlantic.  He stated that immigrants bring patents and Nobel Prizes in droves, help America stay ahead of China by driving progress in semiconductors, artificial intelligence and quantum computing and launch nearly 50 percent of U.S. billion-dollar start-ups.  Watney lamented, however, that while the rest of the world is begging international talent to come to their shores, the U.S. has been slamming the door in their face.

Watney makes a great point.  Elon Musk, a U.S. citizen and the world’s richest person, was born in Pretoria, South Africa.  Satya Nadella, Microsoft CEO, and Sundar Pichai, Google CEO, are both U.S. citizens who were born in India.  Foreign-born executives like these and millions of other immigrants have been enriching our society and supercharging the U.S. economy for over two centuries.

My fascination with demographics grew after I realized how they show that the future is now.  Yes, our population is aging because the U.S. has too few births, too many deaths and not nearly enough incoming immigrants.  Clearly, Democrats strongly support legislation to correct these disturbing population trends.  Still, I believe corporate America’s need for abundant, skilled labor, including women with children, will force even a Republican-controlled government to take action.

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It Won’t Be Easy but We’ll Get Through This

Getty Images

One thing that strikes me as I review events of the past few weeks is how Republican politicians just keep shifting further to the right, becoming more authoritarian and even fascist.  This has been happening for years, of course, and the upcoming midterm elections are probably exacerbating the trend.  But I believe this will come back to haunt the GOP long term.

What surprises me about this phenomenon, however, is how Republicans are targeting corporations that challenge them.  They love the corporate campaign contributions but they don’t want any push back on their frequently unpopular policies. 

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, whose star is rapidly rising in the GOP, is a prime example.  He rushed through a bill in April, without debate, that would repeal the complex 1967 law that gives the Walt Disney Company government-like legal authority over almost 40 square miles surrounding its huge theme park near Orlando, Florida.  Why would DeSantis take such harsh action against the company that employs almost 80,000 people in his state and adds $75 billion to the state’s economy?  Well, Disney’s CEO, Bob Chapek, was critical of DeSantis’ so-called, Don’t Say Gay law and called for its repeal. 

Observers are beginning to compare DeSantis to Hungary’s illiberal leader, Viktor Orban, who has taken control of both the courts and the press in that small nation.  As I have written before, I believe DeSantis is more dangerous than former president Trump.

Another possible presidential candidate and would be authoritarian, Missouri Sen. Josh Hawley (R), actually introduced legislation to strip Disney of some of its copyrights – including for its signature Steamboat Willie Mickey Mouse – because the company exercised its free speech rights in Florida.  A statement released by Hawley about this bill lambasted, “woke corporations like Disney” for “pandering to woke activists,” clearly casting it as retaliatory. It has no chance of passing but it sends a signal from Republicans to corporations: It’s okay to give us your money but keep your mouth shut about what we’re doing.  What does this say about GOP support of free-market principles?

Ohio Republican Senate candidate J. D. Vance’s rhetoric, however, goes much further and is even more ominous.  In an interview with Tucker Carlson on Fox News, Vance stated that the assets of the Ford Foundation should be seized or taxed and he called the Ford Foundation, the Gates Foundation and the Harvard endowment, “cancers on society” for allegedly supporting left-wing causes. 

Vance gave a speech at the November 2021 National Conservative Conference titled, “The Universities Are the Enemy.”  In it he denounced elite colleges – which he has long believed should lose federal funding and have their endowments seized – as enemies of the American people, according to a Vanity Fair article by James Pouge. 

This article also revealed Vance’s advice for Trump if he’s elected in 2024, “Fire every single midlevel bureaucrat, every civil servant in the administrative state, replace them with our people.”  “And when the courts stop you, stand before the country, and say, the chief justice has made his ruling, now let him enforce it.”  

These are words former president Andrew Jackson used in 1832 when he challenged constitutional order and they are chilling.

I believe these examples put America’s corporations and other institutions on notice of what happens if Republican authoritarians gain power and I don’t think they’re willing to accept that fate.  Neither will voters accept the results of long-held GOP policies if they become law, including restricting abortions.

Republican politicians have claimed to be pro-life for decades and demanded that Roe v. Wade and its constitutional right for an abortion be overturned.  Well, the recently leaked preliminary opinion by Justice Samuel Alito indicates that conservative Supreme Court justices are going to grant their wish.  Thereafter, abortion rights will be subject to state laws, which will restrict or ban the procedure in at least 23 Republican-controlled states.  

As numerous columnists have observed, the GOP dog has finally caught the abortion rights car it has been chasing but isn’t sure what to do with it.  Problem is, 63% of voters believe Roe should remain the law, according to a recent national NBC News poll, and only 30% say it should go.  You know what they say, be careful of what you ask for, you just might get it.

Likewise, how will voters react when a Republican-controlled government attempts to privatize Medicare and convert Medicaid to a block grant program, as Republicans have long advocated?  Will Americans be eager to vote GOP when the Social Security trust fund is no longer able to fulfill its full obligations to beneficiaries and Republicans refuse to correct the short falls?  Not likely.

I know, the future of our democratic republic seems rather dark right now.  Still, I’m confident that we’re going to get through this assault on our democratic processes by GOP authoritarians.  There are just too many good people in this nation who will never be willing to sacrifice 237 years of government for the people and give power to a stupid and terribly flawed man like Donald Trump – or DeSantis or any other like Republican.  I don’t think it will be smooth or quick and it damn sure won’t be easy, but as long as a majority of we democracy-loving citizens stay rock solid in our resolve to protect and defend the Constitution of the United States, we shall prevail.

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GOP’s America First Agenda Portends America Alone

Photo courtesy of Markus Winkler – Pexels.com

Most Americans want the United States to be number one, right?  We cheer the USA in the Olympics and feel proud about having the world’s largest economy and the strongest military.  Well, I don’t think that’s what former president Donald Trump and many Republicans are thinking about when they tout “America First.”  I believe that they have a type of zero-sum game in mind where the U.S. always wins no matter who loses.  I also think they implicitly mean straight, white, Christian America First.

Hillbilly Eulogy author J. D. Vance, who Trump supports for the Ohio Republican nomination for the Senate, displayed this attitude when he said, “I think it’s ridiculous that we’re focused on this border in Ukraine. I gotta be honest with you, I don’t really care what happens to Ukraine one way or the other.”  According to Vance, Americans should be more concerned about what’s happening at our southern border than one in far off Europe. 

It appears to me that Vance and the many Republicans who support Trump’s nationalistic policies have an outdated view of American hegemony and an arrogant approach to this nation’s 21st Century foreign policy.

Unquestionably, the United States was first in just about every category at the end of World War II.  The only significant rival the U.S. had at the time was the Soviet Union, particularly after Premier Joseph Stalin acquired nuclear weapons.  Still, the communist/socialist economic system was never a significant challenge to America’s democratic capitalism in the post war era and the USSR totally collapsed in 1991.

The communist People’s Republic of China, which was controlled by Chairman Mao Zedong after 1949, wasn’t much of a threat to U.S. economic dominance either.  When President Nixon made his historic trip to China in 1972, the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) was almost $1.5 trillion, according to statistics from the World Bank, by far the world’s largest.  China’s economic output that year was less than $114 billion.  By 1990, U.S. GDP had more than quadrupled to almost $6 trillion; China’s had only increased to $361 billion.  

My wife and I were vacationing at a hotel in Beijing, PRC in 1994.  CNN was on the television in our room but I was studying a map of the city, anticipating our next day’s activities.  Suddenly, a familiar voice on the TV caused me to look up.  To my surprise, an old friend and conservative Republican congressman was speaking on the floor of the U.S. House and railing against granting China a most favored nation’s trade status. 

His efforts failed, however, and by 2010, China’s GDP had increased to just over $6 trillion, leapfrogging Japan to become the world’s second largest economy.  In another 10 years, China’s economy increased to almost $15 trillion and it surpassed that of the European Union in 2021.  Many economists believe that China’s GDP will surpass that of the U.S by 2030.  Reports indicate that China is also beefing up its military, including its nuclear capabilities, which analysts believe presents the greatest threat to U.S. global leadership since World War II.

In order to counter China’s growing influence, President Obama negotiated the Trans Pacific Partnership agreement with 11 other Pacific rim nations in 2016.  He recognized that the U.S. needed significant international support for this effort.  The TPP was never ratified, however, because Trump withdrew the U.S. from it on his first day in office in 2017. 

But this was just the first of Trump’s many actions to promote his America First agenda; he withdrew from the Paris climate agreement in June 2017 and backed out of the Iran nuclear deal in July 2018.  Trump also continuously criticized virtually all U.S. multilateral trade agreements and frequently denigrated the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.  Trump’s former national security advisor, John Bolton, recently speculated that Trump would have abandoned NATO had he won a second term.

The 2022 yearly report on Freedom in the World by Freedom House, a Washington-based thinktank, shows that for each of the past 16 years, democracy has declined in more countries than it has improved.  Democracy decliner countries exceeded improvers by 45 in 2020, the worst year during that span.  In 2021 there were 35 more decliner countries than improvers and one of the decliners was the United States.  I believe this disturbing trend was exacerbated by Trump’s rejection of democratic norms during his presidency and his America First folly.

Touting America First may appeal to the Republican base but I am convinced that it would lead to an increasing number of nations where democracy declines and autocracy prospers.  In time, I believe that these newly minted autocrats – and even some leaders in weak democracies – would bend to China’s will and the United States could end up being increasingly alone on the world stage. 

Fortunately, however, President Biden is diligently working to reverse Trump’s damaging nationalistic foreign policy.  His leadership rallied the European Union and NATO into a cohesive force to counter Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.  As a result, U.S. Defense Secretary, Lloyd Austin was able to organize defense officials from 40 nations for an unprecedented meeting in Germany to discuss Ukrainian defense needs for repelling Russian forces.  I believe this assemblage displayed strong international solidarity with the United States against both Putin’s aggression and the China/Russia Eurasian partnership.

Trump arrogantly tried to put America First; Biden is making America First – again.

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Do Republicans Finally Have a Policies Agenda?

Rick Scott photo by Dave Decker

You probably know that Republicans didn’t draft a party platform in 2020.  Instead, they produced a short memo that incorporated the 2016 platform and basically stated they will support anything then-President Trump wants going forward.

In keeping with this policy void, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has refused to produce a Republican agenda prior to the 2022 midterm elections.  McConnell is a very shrewd politician who prefers attacking President Biden and the Democrats to defending GOP policy positions that aren’t very popular with the voters.  I suspect McConnell believes that it’s better for the party to be accused of not having good policies than to publish a document that removes all doubt.

Aw, but presidential aspirant Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) wasn’t satisfied with his leader’s strategy; so, he released his 11-Point Plan to Rescue America on February 22.  This document contains copious quantities of red meat for the Republican base about socialism, wokeness and critical race theory.  There’s way too much to unpack in the 11-Points for one blog but here are some of the more revealing highlights:

Scott wants to:

  • Close the federal Department of Education; he says education is a state function.   
  • Move many other government agencies out of Washington or shutter them entirely. 
  • Reduce the federal government work force by 25% in 5 years and sell government buildings and other assets. 
  • Immediately cut the IRS funding and workforce by 50%. 
  • Stop funding non-essential state and local projects until the federal budget is balanced. 
  • Prohibit debt ceiling increases absent a declaration of war. 
  • Require all Americans to pay some income tax “to have skin in the game,” even if a small amount.  
  • Sunset all federal legislation after 5 years, presumably, including Social Security, Medicare, Obamacare and other social programs.  If a law is worth keeping, Scott claims, Congress can pass it again.
  • Require that Congress issue a report each year to tell the public what legislators plan to do when Social Security and Medicare go bankrupt.

Scott would also defend 2nd Amendment gun rights “at all costs,” have zero-tolerance for “mostly peaceful [Black Lives Matter?] protests,” oppose abortion and LGBTQ rights, gradually end all imports from China until basic human rights there are honored and promote strong America First policies. 

Lastly, Scott wants to finish building the border wall, and “name it after President Donald Trump.”  Well, I agree that it’s certainly fitting to name an obscene and ineffective structure to honor a man with like qualities.

But here’s the thing.  Since the presidency of Ronald Reagan, the GOP has touted the same old tired conservative agenda over and over again.  Funny thing though, they never draft serious legislation to get much of it accomplished when they control the government.  You know why?   They would be voted out of office in the next election for even making the effort.  Like, could any politician who proposed sunsetting Social Security and Medicare in five years get reelected?  Hell no!

Scott isn’t up for reelection this year so most of his 11-Points are to curry favor with the right-wing, which he hopes will support him if he decides to run for president in 2024.  I suppose his speech at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) a few days later had the same purpose, but it was even more radical. 

It was shortly after Russia had invaded Ukraine that Scott was reflecting on the greatest threats to the United States at CPAC, according to Microsoft News.  This current leader of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, however, apparently wasn’t concerned about Russia’s aggression and its thousands of nuclear tipped missiles.  Nor did he speak about China’s expansionist objectives in Asia, Islamic terrorists or any other foreign threat.  Oh no!  After listing all the wars that America has survived from 1812 through the Cold War, Scott told the ultra-conservative audience, “Today, we face the greatest danger we have ever faced: The militant left-wing in our country has become the enemy within.”

“The woke left now controls the Democrat [sic] Party, the entire federal government, the news media, academia, big tech, Hollywood, most corporate boardrooms, and now even some of our top military leaders,” Scott added.  Obviously, he wasn’t talking about antifa or some wild-eyed group of left-wing radicals; he wants to pin an “enemies” label on millions of ordinary Americans who simply don’t agree with his far-right philosophy or agenda.

Scott made similar assertions during a speech at the Heritage Foundation in March when he claimed that the “woke left” wants to, “end the American experiment” and “replace freedom with control.”

Dangerous, false rhetoric like Scott’s has become the norm among members of the GOP.  I see the vicious grilling of Black Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson by Senate Judiciary Committee Republicans as a classic example of the GOP’s ongoing modus operandi.  Consequently, I believe the main thing Republicans want to accomplish if they take power in 2023 is to destroy Democratic politicians and the Democratic Party.

So, I don’t believe Scott’s 11-Points will be adopted as GOP policies, even though most Republicans would probably support them.  McConnell made that clear last month when he mocked Scott’s proposals by informing reporters, “Let me tell you what would not be a part of our agenda: We will not have — a bill that raises taxes on half the American people and sunsets Social Security and Medicare within five years.”

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